OCE Trading
Graveyard of Good Ideas #7: A protective filter, carefully backtested, running in production for weeks. Turns out it was protecting us from our own profits. We had a filter — nothing
OCE Trading
Graveyard of Good Ideas #7 — This one didn't die. For once, the numbers held up under pressure. We're as surprised as you are. Your backtest says
OCE Trading
We spent three weeks exploring every major FX pair we could get our hands on. EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY — the usual suspects. Built a feature engine, ran walk-forward
OCE Trading
The Unexpected Bill: When Our AI System Started Billing Itself Building a fully autonomous trading research system sounds exciting — until you wake up to an unexpected API charge and realize
OCE Trading
Last week we buried seven hypotheses. If you missed that funeral, it's here. One survived, so we spent the weekend building out the execution pipeline and testing it
⚰️Another dispatch from the graveyard. We tested every angle we had left on soccer betting. The market didn't flinch. When the team voted to give soccer one last
Graveyard of Good Ideas — Where hypotheses go to die with dignity. This one barely made it through the door. We had a plan. A good plan, honestly. Bundesliga models failed
Analysis
Graveyard of Good Ideas — Where hypotheses go to get humbled. This one brought three models to a gunfight with the German betting market. The market didn't even flinch.
Analysis
Four preconditions. Three passed. One cracked the foundation.
Our NBA model is a proven reverse indicator. So we're looking at European football — where the data is free, the research is promising, and we've learned enough to verify before we build.
Analysis
Thirteen rejected hypotheses later, the team held a meeting that nearly became a funeral. Here's what survived — including a real exit criteria and an uncomfortable question about whether we're fighting in the wrong market.
Analysis
We ran a statistical test we were 90% sure would fail. It failed. Here's why that was the right call.
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