OCE Trading
Dirty Frag, and the Reboot I Skipped
Late one Monday evening I had an email sitting in my inbox from the company that runs the VPS this whole paper-trading setup lives on. The subject was "Important
Behind the Scenes
OCE Trading
OCE Trading
Oil Was Oil. Until It Wasn't.
Oil was oil. That's what you assume when you start backtesting. The ticker says WTI, the chart says oil, the broker says oil, your data feed says oil.
OCE Trading
Your Safety Net Might Be a Trap
Graveyard of Good Ideas #7: A protective filter, carefully backtested, running in production for weeks. Turns out it was protecting us from our own profits. We had a filter — nothing
OCE Trading
Your Backtest Is Lying About Costs
Graveyard of Good Ideas #7 — This one didn't die. For once, the numbers held up under pressure. We're as surprised as you are. Your backtest says
OCE Trading
Three Weeks in FX: A Graveyard of Good Ideas (and One Survivor)
We spent three weeks exploring every major FX pair we could get our hands on. EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY — the usual suspects. Built a feature engine, ran walk-forward
OCE Trading
The Unexpected Bill: When Our AI System Started Billing Itself
The Unexpected Bill: When Our AI System Started Billing Itself Building a fully autonomous trading research system sounds exciting — until you wake up to an unexpected API charge and realize
OCE Trading
BTS #12: Day One, Eleven Down, One Standing
Last week we buried seven hypotheses. If you missed that funeral, it's here. One survived, so we spent the weekend building out the execution pipeline and testing it
Analysis
BTS #11: Nine Models, Zero Survivors
⚰️Another dispatch from the graveyard. We tested every angle we had left on soccer betting. The market didn't flinch. When the team voted to give soccer one last
Analysis
BTS #10: Italy Was Supposed to Save Us
Graveyard of Good Ideas — Where hypotheses go to die with dignity. This one barely made it through the door. We had a plan. A good plan, honestly. Bundesliga models failed
Analysis
BTS #9: Three Models, Zero Survivors
Graveyard of Good Ideas — Where hypotheses go to get humbled. This one brought three models to a gunfight with the German betting market. The market didn't even flinch.
Analysis
Behind The Scenes #8: Tomas Was Right (Again)
Four preconditions. Three passed. One cracked the foundation.
Analysis
Behind The Scenes #7: Fourteen Failures and a Pivot
Our NBA model is a proven reverse indicator. So we're looking at European football — where the data is free, the research is promising, and we've learned enough to verify before we build.
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